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Asia's high inflation problem is due to lax monetary policy rather than soaring food and energy prices, and the threat of "lasting damage" is real, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) warns.
Oil Minister Murli Deora says petrol and diesel prices would not be cut till crude oil prices falls to $67 a barrel. This is because the depreciation in the rupee against the US dollar has eroded gains from falling oil prices, which touched a 7-month low.
Former chairman of the prime minister’s economic advisory council, C Rangarajan, says that the inflation is likely to come down to 10 per cent by December this year.
Inflation is likely to touch 13.5 per cent in November and the Reserve Bank may be forced to raise short-term lending rates and statuary deposits of the banks with the Central bank by 25 basis points each by next month, said global investment banker Goldman Sachs.
"Inflation will begin softening within a few months' time. The prices of crude oil appear to be softening in the global market. A good monsoon will make a big difference," said Ahluwalia
WPI shows a decline in the index for non-food articles, mineral, fuel, power, light and lubricants, and non-metallic mineral products
The plan panel deputy chief’s optimism is in stark contrast to the concern of the finance ministry, which says inflation was a ‘matter of concern’ and a ‘major disappointment’
According to a survey by HR consultancy major Hewitt Associates, the IT sector will see the lowest pay hike of 11.3 per cent in India next year, down from 12.5 per cent in 2008
The growth in advance tax payments by corporates during the June quarter reflect that the fears of economic slowdown are unfounded, according to a finance ministry statement. Advance tax payments grew by 24.1 per cent during the quarter.
Prices of essential commodities, which include food grains, pulses, edible oils, vegetables, dairy products and some other products, including kerosene, soap and safety matches, have more or less stabilised. Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia says the problem of inflation is short term and will moderate in due course
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